Quantcast
Channel: Olakunle Abimbola – The Nation Nigeria
Viewing all 245 articles
Browse latest View live

Osun’s politics of the belly

$
0
0

It had got to be the limit — Bayelsa senator, Ben Murray-Bruce’s attempt at wannabe activism.  He had “donated” his anticipated wardrobe allowance to feed hungry Osun workers — and a few Bayelsa widows.

Hare-brained activism never made a more hare-brained start!

Homeboy, Iyiola Omisore, also made a quiet rumble: doing his little bit to feed the hungry Osun multitude.  However, had he wanted to cause a stir, he would have parked trailer load of grains at the Osun Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) secretariat in Osogbo; and invited the starving plebs of Abere, the state government’s secretariat, to come have their fill!

In Mr. Omisore’s world, charity and politics co-mingle for devastating effects!

Why, the controversial Buruji Kashamu, Omisore’s deep ideological soul mate in democratic feudalism, also sent in his own words of hope: trailers, creaking under loads and loads of victuals and myriad provisions, were snailing and snaking into Osun!

Has the SOS caravan arrived?

O, the media also weighed in; in the Osun wage hysteria.  Abimbola Adelakun (The Punch, June 11) intervened with a piece that betrayed structural split-personality. The headline, “Ogbeni Aregbesola, pay your workers” was a cynical taunt, in the classical Yoruba traditional sense.  But it ended with basic reason and admission that Osun’s problem stems from a national systemic failure. In-between were emotive and neo-liberal snarling against “populist” policies.

Ms Adelakun’s newspaper would later pour cold water on efforts, at the end of June, to start paying the salary arrears, suggesting, by its cynical angling of the news, that the efforts were too little, too late.  Of course, between The Punch and Aregbesola’s government, there appears no love lost.

Still, the very limit would come with a crusading jurist, ensconced in the Osun judiciary, inflicting great violence on judicial reticence and the separation of power doctrine.

Justice Oloyede Folahanmi, an Osun high court judge, wrote a petition calling on the Osun legislature to impeach Governor Aregbesola, over the salary arrears.  Her tone suggested the governor wilfully held salaries back to punish and intimidate workers.  But logically, why might he do that?

A few have defended Justice Folahanmi’s unprecedented conduct, insisting she wrote in her personal capacity; and not as a judge.  Still, the notorious fact (as her constituency would say) is that she is a sitting judge, sworn to some service ethos and etiquette!

Besides, if that apologia held, then the Chief Justice of Nigeria (CJN), writing as a citizen, could  well gift himself the liberty to write the National Assembly for the president’s impeachment, should the Federal Government falter on salaries!  You see how misguided judicial activism could easily court anarchy?

But something should be clear.  Between friendly and hostile camps to the Osun governor’s salary odyssey, there is no high moral ground.  Both are driven by the logic of public policy analysis, a media activity critical to democratic deepening.

So, what is Ripples’ angst at the stand of Justice Folahanmi and co?  Good question; but before an answer, another caveat: other things being equal, salary delays are degrading and indefensible.  Their ripple effects can make a family really, really miserable; and it is a path no self-respecting adult wants to tread.  Besides, even a month’s delay is bad enough.  For months’ delay, one can imagine the anguish on the affected families.

So, what is wrong with telling it as it is — as Aregbesola’s media critics have done — and reading out the riot act to the governor: pay or quit?

The approach.  While compassion is noble, emotion-milking is vile, wilful and cruel.  It can only create two victims: the governor as demon, useless and uncaring; and hurting workers, fed on the daily diet of gubernatorial loathing.  Both can only work up emotions; but hardly solve the problem.

Besides, the skewed attention on Osun, when more than a half of the 36 states are involved in the salary meltdown, suggests a media roasting most bizarre, with the media becoming part of the problem, instead of navigating the polity towards a solution.

Of course, such unconscionable muddying of waters suits nicely Aregbesola’s political traducers.  That is where Omisore and co belong; and to the amoral political class, all is fair in war.

But the media, becoming ready and merry tools to fight these unholy wars, is tantamount to the media becoming smashed mirrors, from which only skewed images of society can emerge.

And for a serving judicial officer to unthinkingly barge in, is the judicial equivalent of dancing naked.

But the most tragic consequence of this politics-of-the-belly approach to a serious crunch, which calls for radical financial restructuring, is deliberate misdiagnosis, which has nothing to offer but mischief.

In the heat of the crusading passion, Aregbesola became the irredeemable Satan, not Goodluck Jonathan; under whose presidency the national purse became a sieve, putting most states in the present bind.

For instance, the Jonathan presidency declared daily stolen 400, 000 barrels, from the 2.6 million produced each day.  Though that should have translated into some 15 per cent reduction, states suffered a 40 per cent drop from Federation Account (FA) takings — without any cogent reason.

Then, the global oil price crash.  The cumulative effect of Jonathan’s leaking purse and the price dip, crashed Osun’s revenue by some 55 per cent.  Now, Aregbesola’s only blame here appears his huge appetite for developmental projects, financed with sundry loans and bonds,  invested in social and physical infrastructure.  That tenuous balance left the state heavily leveraged.  The shock, from this sudden financial storm, smashed Osun’s monthly FA taking below the N3.6 billion monthly civil servants’ wage bill.  That explains the salary default.

Even then, Osun’s internally generated revenue (IGR) for 2014, from National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) figures, was N8.5 billion, placing 11th out of 25 states.  Compared with Akwa Ibom’s N15.6 billion (seventh placed, though Nigeria’s highest FA drawer), it would appear Osun is using its meagre resources to deepen its local economy, while Akwa Ibom, flush with oil derivation cash, seems largely content with its FA takings.

Besides, a global multidimensional poverty index (MPI) survey of Nigeria, with 100 other developing countries, has introduced a fresh perspective to Osun and poverty.

The MPI is based on a 10-point indicator, based on three broad poverty criteria: education (years of schooling and school attendance), health (child mortality and nutrition) — both gauging the meeting of a child’s social infrastructure needs  — and a six-point indicator under “standard of living”: assets, cooking fuel, floor, water, sanitation and electricity.

Under MPI, quoted from an Oxford University document called Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative (2015), Osun placed second, only to Lagos, among Nigerian states least affected by poverty, via a pile chart tagged  ”Headcount of the ratios of MPI poor and destitute”.

That means that despite all the salary hoopla, Osun has somehow devised ways to improve its poverty level.

Still, many newspaper commentators thunder, from their Olympian heights of raw passion, that Aregbesola should scrap his high impact developmental programmes, because of the salary hoopla.

The Ogbeni, to his peril, would listen to such Mephistophelean counsel; though he should try his best possible to clear the salary arrears.

Many newspaper commentators thunder Aregbesola should scrap his high impact developmental programmes. The Ogbeni, to his peril, would listen to such Mephistophelean counsel

The post Osun’s politics of the belly appeared first on The Nation.


Buhari, NA and race against time

$
0
0

To the conscientious analyst, neither Tambuwal nor Ekweremadu holds any appeal.

Tambuwalisation,  which romped Aminu Tambuwal to the speakership, despite the ire of his ruling party, suited fine the opposition Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), during the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) hegemony.

Yet, it has come back, in the new order, to plague the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC); with the loss of the Senate deputy presidency to the opposition PDP.

Many would, of course, enter the softener: the Tambuwal-led House of Representatives proved much more people-centred; than the reactionary House expected under Mulikat Adeola-Akande, the PDP choice for Speaker.

Yes — and the polity would appear not ungrateful.  But even that noble accident hardly vitiates the vile principle of rebellion against party.

Now to Ekweremadu-isation, which has fired PDP’s Ike Ekweremadu to retain the senate deputy presidency, despite his PDP losing power.

Indeed, it’s a real laugh seeing Godswill Akpabio, former Akwa Ibom governor and now a senator, wax lyrical on cant.  He claimed Ekweremadu was a product of some gobbledygook bi-partisan entente, involving public-spirited APC and PDP senators.  Nice attempt at deodorisation of a clear and brazen parliamentary coup — with even Akpabio hardly convincing himself!

Of course, it was nothing of the sort.

Rather, it was two blocs of colluding legislators — a minority, from the APC side, for strictly personal gains, stabbing their own party in the back; and a majority, from the PDP, attempting an obstructionist vanguard, to stall a clear mandate for change, hoping therefrom, to reap some future group political salvation.

But as everything karma-like, and not unlike the eye-for-an-eye Mosaic law that soon leaves everybody blind, the Ekweremadu phase of this bad politics is even worse than the Tambuwal original.

For all his rebellion, Speaker Tambuwal conceded the House Leader to Ms Adeola-Akande, his party’s original Speaker-designate.  But Ekweremadu is living example that Bukola Saraki, senate president, will make no such concession!  If he did, the deal would be off.  If Ekweremadu is in peril, the deal would be in danger.  That puts Saraki too in peril!

Again, while the Tambuwal concession did not nullify the original rebellion, the Saraki intransigence portends a worse parliamentary plague next time.

So long for a political class that thrives on expediency, and hardly on principle!

But ethical or ruthless, life goes on.  President Muhammadu Buhari (PMB) demanded and got a mandate for change.  So, he is condemned to delivering on that mandate.

The snag, though, is: even if his party has a healthy parliamentary majority, the Saraki-brewed Ekweremadu-isation tends to have vaporised all that.

Right now the National Assembly appears fractured into three camps: the majority APC, who appear loyal to their party and the PMB agenda; the minority PDP, poised to play the opposition, by hook or by crook; and the penumbra of two minorities: the bulk PDP and APC rebel elements that cooked Saraki’s senate presidency, which could band together to eclipse the PMB plan, particularly if the group perceives it a threat to its own agenda — and political survival.

Yet, fast-tracking such initiatives appears the badly needed redemption for a fast decaying polity.

But bad news for PMB: when the chips are down, these two minorities could forge an illicit majority, filibustering against, if not terminally blocking legislative support for popular initiatives.  That simply means PMB may face more difficulties than anticipated, to garner legislative support for his programmes.

That, indeed, would be very bad news for everyone.  This is because to put things right for Nigeria is a desperate race against time, where even a second’s delay could be serious, if not outright fatal.

From the 2015 election, the partisan winners were from the North (North East, North Central and North West) and South West, where APC swept the polls.  The losers were from the South East and South-South, where PDP won.

So, virtual partisan political warfare, at least in the next four years, would be between the North/South West (to further press their electoral hegemony) and the South-East/South-South (to defend their turf).

But overall, all of the geo-political zones were losers on the developmental turf, according to findings from a new poverty study on Nigeria from Oxford University (mentioned on this page last week), known as the Oxford poverty and human development initiative (OPHI), and formally cited as OPHI 2015, with the latest stats from as late as June 2015.

OPHI does not measure poverty as just “no money”; but more rigorously as conditions precedent: either to reinforce poverty; or break that yoke to deliver development.

So, by its 10-point indicators, broken down into three major planks, a state might be flush with cash, yet work to deepen poverty by its low infrastructure (social and physical); or be low on cash, but high on infrastructure, to dislodge poverty.

Trite: presidential mandates are national.  But if all politics is local, PMB has extra motivation to push pro-people, anti-poverty initiatives, needing urgent legislative support.

From the OPHI data, the 10 poorest states, with corresponding destitution, are from the president’s home region: Yobe, Zamfara, Jigawa, Bauchi, Kebbi, Sokoto, Katsina, Taraba, Gombe and Kano — in that order.

On this list is Katsina, PMB’s home state, Kano, the North’s commercial dynamo and Sokoto, the North West’s spiritual headquarters.  So, if he desires his presidency to be impactful, PMB must, against poverty, race against time.

The top 10 states least affected by poverty and destitution are a mishmash: Lagos, Osun, Anambra, Ekiti, Edo, Imo, Abia, Rivers, Kwara and Akwa Ibom — in that order.

Still, that four states, Lagos, Osun, Ekiti and Edo, dominate the top five tends to underscore the development bent of the states ruled, or once ruled, by the defunct ACN.  It also appears in the presidential camp, in the intra-APC parliamentary showdown.  More: the group should be zealous PMB partners, in a fierce anti-poverty war  — lest their areas slip back into the poverty mash, in this period of national economic angst.

South East did far better than the South-South on the OPHI scale, despite SS’s relative bigger share of the central cake. On the other hand, Kwara, at spot 9, sits at the apex of all the northern states.

Given the balance of the power in the National Assembly, and balance of fortune on the OPHI scale, could Saraki’s rebel APC legislators then team up with PDP-dominated SE and SS to block PMB and legislatively frustrate his initiatives?

Sans bad politics, there is no sense in that, since no state or geo-political zone is immune from poverty.  But bad politics makes it a possibility, especially if collective good threatens to turn individual ruin.

That is why, to succeed, PMB must marshal a strong coalition in parliament — with enough grassroots developmental carrots as drivers, to build a bi-partisan progressive vanguard.

But if this commonsense viewpoint falters?  Then, he must build a media-people coalition outside parliament to enforce parliamentary common sense that, in Jeremy Bentham-speak, pushes the greatest happiness of the greatest number.

That is the only way the change mandate of March 28 won’t end yet another grand betrayal.

If he desires his presidency to be impactful, PMB must, against poverty, race against time

The post Buhari, NA and race against time appeared first on The Nation.

Fayose’s devil on the cross

$
0
0

To Ayo Fayose, Adamu Mu’azu, Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) national chairman, is a devil that must be nailed on the cross — and nailed hard. And trust the Ekiti abrasive one (not famed for any deep thinking, lay or intellectual, but only a relay of reflex thought bounces), to make a facile comparison between election […]

The post Fayose’s devil on the cross appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

When comes a federalist Buhari?

$
0
0

Between his first and second coming, Muhammadu Buhari’s conversion from the martial man of steel to a self-confessed democrat of reason is quite dramatic. It is the political equivalence of the rabid, anti-Christ Saul turning the zestful, pro-gospel Paul, on the way to Damascus.  But the democratic General’s life-changing journey to Damascus took no less […]

The post When comes a federalist Buhari? appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Cry, his beloved country

$
0
0

“You see this card [PVC]? It is what we shall use to sweep out this government of thieves. If the coming government is not better, we shall use it to sweep them away too” — Two unlettered Nigerian female voters, as captured in Prof. Niyi Osundare’s May 17 lecture in Lagos. It wasn’t quite Alan […]

The post Cry, his beloved country appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Nigeria and the snag of false steps

$
0
0

From flag independence in 1960, Nigeria has been plagued by a series of false steps — the wrong set of people taking over affairs at crucial junctures. Is that about to change? In a multi-national, multi-cultural state like Nigeria, history is often laced with ethnic pride, rationalisations and justifications.  So facts, notorious facts, appear to […]

The post Nigeria and the snag of false steps appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Ambode and King Solomon’s complex

$
0
0

Akinwunmi Ambode, the new Lagos governor may, Bible-speak, have gained a “settled kingdom”, where much seems to work. Everybody perhaps would remember Babatunde Fashola, SAN, immediate past governor, who bolted off the starting blocks, zoomed through an eight-year gubernatorial marathon like a sprint, and breasted the tape hardly betraying any fatigue. But perhaps a little […]

The post Ambode and King Solomon’s complex appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Between APC and SDP

$
0
0

The June 9 National Assembly showdown, in which All Progressives’ Congress (APC) rebel elements routed the party’s official choices, underscores the eerie parallel between the defunct Social Democratic Party (SDP) of the still-birth 3rd Republic and APC. In the face of conservatives’ clear failure in governance, SDP and APC dangled the progressive charm (Nigeria-speak for […]

The post Between APC and SDP appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.


To President Buhari

$
0
0

Good day, Your Excellency. I’m sorry, I have to dispense with long protocols in opening greetings.  But Mr. President, it is not for lack of respect.  It is rather due to the urgency of the situation. Besides, it is only the unthinking, in today’s Nigeria, that would not respect you.  In the midst of seeming paralysis, you appear […]

The post To President Buhari appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

NASS: Between legacy and careerists

$
0
0

In “Between APC and SDP” (June 16), Ripples noted the tactical error of trying to keep at bay, the New-Peoples Democratic Party (nPDP) bloc of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC). That sparked the Bukola Saraki-led parliamentary coup of June 9. But with the turn of events, and the nPDP elements now attempting to impose their own […]

The post NASS: Between legacy and careerists appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Osun’s politics of the belly

$
0
0

It had got to be the limit — Bayelsa senator, Ben Murray-Bruce’s attempt at wannabe activism.  He had “donated” his anticipated wardrobe allowance to feed hungry Osun workers — and a few Bayelsa widows. Hare-brained activism never made a more hare-brained start! Homeboy, Iyiola Omisore, also made a quiet rumble: doing his little bit to feed […]

The post Osun’s politics of the belly appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Buhari, NA and race against time

$
0
0

To the conscientious analyst, neither Tambuwal nor Ekweremadu holds any appeal. Tambuwalisation,  which romped Aminu Tambuwal to the speakership, despite the ire of his ruling party, suited fine the opposition Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), during the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) hegemony. Yet, it has come back, in the new order, to plague the ruling […]

The post Buhari, NA and race against time appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Baba’s latest thunder

$
0
0

Why did Goodluck Jonathan lose the presidency? Because, on all objective accounts, he didn’t perform well?  Yes.  But which of his two predecessors boasted stellar performances — Olusegun Obasanjo or the late Umaru Musa Yar’Adua?  Besides, when did often sentimental Nigerians start voting out bad leaders, particularly at the federal level? Being from a minority […]

The post Baba’s latest thunder appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Subsidy: before another barren debate

$
0
0

For once, perhaps in eons, a Nigerian leader has not traded off his humanity for political power.  That about captures President Muhammadu Buhari’s take on fuel subsidy. “I have received many literature on the need to remove subsidies, but much of it has no depth,” President Buhari declared.  “When you touch the price of petroleum […]

The post Subsidy: before another barren debate appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Again, NASS comes up short

$
0
0

Remember Salisu Buhari of Kano?  He was the first Speaker, 4th Republic House of Representatives. He was everything: rich, handsome, genteel, debonair, street-wise and dashing — until a certificate forgery scandal laid him bare.  He was also accused to have fast-tracked his age to make election into the House of Representatives, and eventually, its Speakership. […]

The post Again, NASS comes up short appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.


Akpabio and crying wolf

$
0
0

Akpabio, Akpabio! Let off that hail in The Nation Editorial Board suites, and you probably would elicit equally passionate but contradictory responses. Commendation: a socially responsible and historically conscious former governor, whose laudable education policy was aimed at ridding his people of the “houseboy/girl and cook syndrome”, by making education free, compulsory and attractive; and […]

The post Akpabio and crying wolf appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Kukah cooking poisonous broth

$
0
0

Holy Father, Matthew Hassan Kukah, Catholic Bishop of Sokoto, may be cooking a profane broth that may well smudge his frock. When that broth is done, we may witness the merriest push at self-demystification in the history of global Catholicism! That is hyperbole, of course. But not a few have wondered why the goodly priest […]

The post Kukah cooking poisonous broth appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Ooni: reign sweet and sour

$
0
0

First, some conceptual clarifications. Court records, of the late Ooni, Alayeluwa Oba Okunade Sijuwade, Olubuse II, (reigned 1980-2015) often referred to him as “His Imperial Majesty” — how so? This is not only a historical negation (the Ooni never headed an empire, so he could not have been His Imperial Majesty), it is also an […]

The post Ooni: reign sweet and sour appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

A princess and her angels

$
0
0

Meja Mwangi, the Kenyan novelist, in Going Down River Road, did a good parody of the all-mighty Kenyan parliament.   His fictive People’s Parliament, of the over-worked, underpaid, hungry and angry workers, during their break time, railed at the high-and-mighty. From their break-time hell-raising came an immortal line: “Germs don’t kill Africans, only hunger does!”  That, […]

The post A princess and her angels appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Buhari: between image and substance

$
0
0

No hee-hawing: Muhammadu Buhari, president of the Federal Republic, is provincial!  But is that necessarily bad? In a multi-national country, with a parlous record of northern political domination, that would appear a disaster.  The image of the Nigerian Presidency as bastion of northern hegemony creates a disturbing déjà vu: we had seen it all, in […]

The post Buhari: between image and substance appeared first on The Nation Nigeria.

Viewing all 245 articles
Browse latest View live


Latest Images

<script src="https://jsc.adskeeper.com/r/s/rssing.com.1596347.js" async> </script>